安东内利在墨西哥城大奖赛有望赢得世界冠军
安东内利在理论上可能赢得世界冠军的首场比赛中未能夺冠，但在墨西哥城大奖赛上他有机会创造历史。
基米·安东内利F1冠军可能性：梅赛德斯车手如何在墨西哥城大奖赛周日赢得2026年一级方程式车手锦标赛
基米·安东内利如何成为一级方程式历史上最年轻的冠军？本周日，在墨西哥城大奖赛，观看每一节墨西哥城大奖赛，直播于天空体育F1
基米·安东内利展望墨西哥，他即将迎来赢得冠军的关键时刻
基米·安东内利在理论上可以夺冠的第一场比赛中未能赢得一级方程式世界冠军，但这位意大利人本周在墨西哥城有机会创造历史。
安东内利在奥斯汀赢得了美国大奖赛，将他与梅赛德斯车队的队友和最接近的挑战者乔治·拉塞尔的积分差距拉大到123分，领先法拉利的刘易斯·汉密尔顿124分。
红牛的马克斯·维斯塔潘、法拉利的查尔斯·勒克莱尔和麦克拉伦的兰多·诺里斯正式被淘汰出冠军争夺战，只剩下拉塞尔和汉密尔顿两位车手理论上可以阻止安东内利在20岁时成为这项运动最年轻的世界冠军。
美国大奖赛赛果 | 2026年F1积分榜 | 2026年F1赛历
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实际上，拉塞尔和汉密尔顿的机会只有技术上的，因为他们中的一个需要赢得剩余的五场比赛，并且安东内利需要未能获得两分。
安东内利如何在墨西哥城大奖赛赢得2026年F1冠军
在墨西哥城大奖赛于本周日举行之后，将剩下四场计划中的比赛——巴西、拉斯维加斯、卡塔尔和阿布扎比，并且最多还有100分可以争夺。
在奥斯汀赢得冠军，安东内利只需要得到两分，或者不被拉塞尔领先23分，也不被汉密尔顿领先24分。
安东内利在墨西哥城的夺冠可能性包括：
拉塞尔和汉密尔顿未能赢得比赛
梅赛德斯车队负责人托托·沃尔夫表示，基米·安东内利在美国大奖赛上的表现是'卓越的'
当梅赛德斯能够赢得车队总冠军吗？
梅赛德斯在墨西哥也将首次有机会在数学上赢得车队总冠军 - 但在下一场比赛中确保这一头衔是一项非常艰巨的任务。
他们在积分榜上领先法拉利133分，而在这周日比赛之后，还有172分有待争夺。
要成为墨西哥的冠军，他们需要比法拉利多出39分。这需要安东内利或拉塞尔赢得大奖赛，另一位车手获得第二或第三名，同时两位法拉利车手遭遇灾难性的比赛。
银箭车队首次有机会真正结束比赛的时刻可能是在下周的圣保罗大奖赛，届时他们只需在伊塔乌托拉戈斯赛道赛事中领先129分，比现在少4分。
然而，法拉利在过去的三个周末的比赛中都超过了他们。
一级方程式赛车接下来将向南行进，进入美洲三连赛的第二站，本周末将进行墨西哥城大奖赛，由天空体育F1频道现场直播。通过NOW观看天空体育，无需签订合同，随时可取消。
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英文原文
Kimi Antonelli F1 title permutations: How Mercedes driver can win 2026 Formula 1 Drivers' Championship at Mexico City GP on Sunday
How can Kimi Antonelli become the youngest champion in Formula 1 history this Sunday at the Mexico City Grand Prix? Watch every session of the Mexico City GP from this Friday, live on Sky Sports F1
Kimi Antonelli looks ahead to Mexico as he moves to brink of a title win
Kimi Antonelli was unable to seal the Formula 1 world championship at the first race where it was mathematically possible for him to do so, but the Italian has left himself with a great opportunity to make history this weekend in Mexico City.
Antonelli won the United States Grand Prix in Austin to move 123 points clear of his Mercedes team-mate and nearest challenger George Russell, and 124 points ahead of Ferrari's Lewis Hamilton.
Red Bull's Max Verstappen, Ferrari's Charles Leclerc and McLaren's Lando Norris were officially knocked out of championship contention, leaving Russell and Hamilton as the only drivers who can technically prevent Antonelli from becoming the sport's youngest ever world champion at 20 years old.
United States GP race result | F1 2026 standings | F1 2026 calendar
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In reality, Russell and Hamilton's chances are only technical, as one of them would need to win all five remaining races and for Antonelli to fail to score two points.
How Antonelli can win the 2026 F1 title at the Mexico City GP
There will be four scheduled races left - Brazil, Las Vegas, Qatar and Abu Dhabi - after the Mexico City Grand Prix takes place this Sunday and a maximum of 100 points left to play for.
To win the title in Austin, Antonelli simply needs to score two points, or not be outscored by Russell by 23 points and Hamilton by 24 points.
The permutations for Antonelli to become champion in Mexico City are:
Russell and Hamilton fail to win the race
Mercedes team principal Toto Wolff says that Kimi Antonelli's performance at the United States Grand Prix was 'exceptional'
When can Mercedes clinch the Constructors' Championship?
Mercedes will also have a first mathematical chance to clinch the Constructors' Championship in Mexico - but securing that title next time out is a very tall order.
They lead Ferrari by 133 points in the standings and there will be 172 points left to play for after this Sunday's race.
To become champions in Mexico, they would need to outscore Ferrari by 39 points. This would require Antonelli or Russell winning the Grand Prix, with the other driver in second or third, plus a disastrous race for both Ferrari drivers.
The Silver Arrows' first realistic chance to wrap things up will therefore likely come at next week's Sao Paulo Grand Prix when they would only need to finish the Interlagos event 129 points ahead, four fewer than now.
However, Ferrari have outscored them at each of the last three race weekends.
Formula 1 next heads south for the second leg of The Americas triple header with the Mexico City Grand Prix this weekend, live on Sky Sports F1. Stream Sky Sports with NOW - no contract, cancel anytime
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