梅赛德斯何时能赢得2026年F1车队总冠军？
梅赛德斯在2026年新规则下开局强势，尽管车手安东内利理论上可以在即将到来的美国大奖赛上锁定个人F1冠军，但车队方面还需等待一段时间才能确认其车队总冠军。
梅赛德斯何时能赢得2026年F1车队冠军？
梅赛德斯领先法拉利134分，但无法在奥斯汀独自创造决定性的差距
对于梅赛德斯车迷来说，这里有最新的银箭消息，包括F1新闻、车手更新、赛车开发和比赛分析，来自布拉克利和布里克斯沃斯。
梅赛德斯在2026年新规则下的新赛季起步强劲，但尽管其车手基米·安东内利理论上可以在即将到来的美国大奖赛上锁定他的F1冠军，但作为一支车队，梅赛德斯还需要等待一段时间才能确认其车队冠军。
墨西哥大奖赛是Brackley车队最早能够确认其车队冠军的时刻，如果它在奥斯汀进一步扩大领先优势。车队目前领先578分，领先法拉利134分。尽管还有六场比赛，但根据数据，迈凯轮和红牛仍然有可能赢得冠军，但这非常不现实。
从现在开始，一支车队在每个周末最多可以获得43分，最后的冲刺周末将在新加坡举行。这意味着整个赛季剩余部分共有258分可供争夺。在奥斯汀之后，还有215分可以争夺，这意味着即使梅赛德斯以1-2的成绩结束，而法拉利未能得分，这也会将其领先优势扩大到仅177分。因此，在德克萨斯州无法赢得冠军。
11月份将迎来墨西哥大奖赛，这将是梅赛德斯最早赢得冠军的机会。在那之后，还剩下四场比赛，剩余172分，因此梅赛德斯需要至少领先172分，通过在奥斯汀和墨西哥的比赛中比法拉利多38分来赢得冠军。
即使平局，也将指向梅赛德斯，因为梅赛德斯有11个大奖赛胜利，而法拉利只有两个。
两辆梅赛德斯车队获得了一二名，而法拉利在两个周末的比赛中最多只能获得48分，这将使它赢得胜利。这意味着圣保罗在11月8日成为更现实的选项。在巴西之后，将有129分可供争夺，如果梅赛德斯领先129分或更多，它将成为冠军。
要在拉斯维加斯获胜，车队需要领先86分，而要在11月底的卡塔尔锁定冠军，只需要领先43分。
显然，由于中东地区的局势，卡塔尔和阿布扎比仍然存在疑问，这些比赛是否会被取消将取决于可用的分数。伊莫拉也被讨论为可能的替代赛。
第九个车队冠军将使梅赛德斯与威廉姆斯持平，各有九个，落后于法拉利和麦克拉伦。它之前从2014年到2021年连续获得了八个冠军。
英文原文
How soon can Mercedes win the 2026 F1 constructors' championship?
Mercedes leads Ferrari by 134 points but cannot create a decisive gap in Austin alone
For Mercedes fans. All the latest from the Silver Arrows, with F1 news, driver updates, car development and race analysis from Brackley and Brixworth.
Mercedes has had a dominant start to the new regulations in 2026, but while its driver Kimi Antonelli could technically seal his Formula 1 championship win this coming Sunday at the United States Grand Prix, Mercedes as a team will have to wait a little longer to confirm its constructors' championship.
The Mexican Grand Prix is the earliest the Brackley squad could confirm its constructors' championship win if it further extends its lead in Austin. The team leads on 578 points, 134 points clear of Ferrari. And with still six races left, McLaren and Red Bull could - by the numbers - still win it, but it is highly unrealistic.
A team can score a maximum of 43 points per weekend going forward with the last sprint weekend taking place in Singapore. That leaves a total of 258 points available in the rest of the season. After Austin, 215 points will still be up for grabs, meaning that even if Mercedes finishes with a 1-2 and Ferrari fails to score, this would extend its lead to just 177. Therefore, the title cannot be won in Texas.
The month of November brings a race in Mexico, and this will be Mercedes' earliest chance at winning its title. With just four races left after that, 172 points remain, so Mercedes needs a lead of at least 172 points by outscoring Ferrari by 38 points across both Austin and Mexico.
Even a tie would still point to Mercedes, with 11 grand prix wins to Ferrari's two.
Two Mercedes one-twos while Ferrari collects no more than 48 points across both weekends would hand it the win. This does mean Sao Paulo is the more realistic option on 8 November. With 129 points up for grabs after Brazil, Mercedes would be champion if it was 129 points or more ahead.
To win in Las Vegas, the team would need a lead of 86 and to clinch it in Qatar, at the end of November, would require a lead of just 43.
Obviously, with both Qatar and Abu Dhabi still in question due to the situation in the Middle East, fewer points could be available depending on whether these races could be cancelled. Imola has also been discussed as a possible replacement.
A ninth constructors’ title would take Mercedes level with Williams on nine, behind Ferrari and McLaren. Its previous eight came in a row from 2014 to 2021.
Motorsport.com ·
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