车手担忧2026规则削弱巴西大奖赛超车观赏性
F1车手担心2026年技术规则的特殊性会让英特拉格斯周日下午的比赛失去超车观赏性，汉密尔顿和维斯塔潘都认为从后排追赶的难度将大幅增加。
巴西大奖赛见证过许多从F1发车格后排发起的著名追击，因为历史上超车在这里一直很容易。
但F1车手们确实担心，2026年规则的特殊性会让周日下午英特拉格斯的比赛观赏性大打折扣。
就在一周前的墨西哥，刘易斯·汉密尔顿和兰多·诺里斯都抱怨过赛车超过一定速度阈值后能量部署功率下降过快的问题。汉密尔顿称这些“愚蠢”，诺里斯说它们“有点毁掉比赛”。
而2026年规则正是包括汉密尔顿和马克斯·维斯塔潘在内的车手们觉得从后排追赶机会大幅减少的原因，这两位车手都曾在巴西从低发车位起步并取得成功。
汉密尔顿因被罚退10位将从第20位发车，他表示“超车将会非常、非常、非常困难。我不确定你们还能看到过去那种比赛”。
汉密尔顿本人曾在2021年巴西大奖赛从第10位发车夺冠，当时他在冲刺赛中从最后一名追上来，赛车还换装了新引擎；但他觉得，如今每辆车在直道模式下都能减阻，而不像旧DRS规则下那样相互抵消，这意味着2026年的这场比赛很可能更加静态。
维斯塔潘也认同这种对局面的解读，他曾从第17位发车赢得2024年的这场比赛。
“现在我们不再有DRS，而且这里的超车模式因为长直道而非常受限，每个人都在耗尽电池，”他说。
“所以你在直道上的速度差会小很多，有点像墨西哥那样。因此我认为，在长直道上超车会困难得多。”
这个超车模式让任何在一秒时间阈值内跟随另一辆车的车手获得额外0.5兆焦耳的能量，但威廉姆斯车手卡洛斯·塞恩斯估计这只值“十分之一或两秒”，这本身不太可能足以形成鼓励超车的速度差。
“总之，考虑到正在发生的处罚和其他一切，我不指望太往前看，”他说。
但这里的天气是巨大的变数，因为超车模式的局限性只有在干燥条件下才真正相关。
在湿地条件下，主动空气动力学系统也可以被禁用——因此尾流效应会变得更大。
迈凯伦车队领队安德烈亚·斯特拉表示，他“如果正赛是干地才会感到惊讶”，这对F1而言将是一次未知领域的探索，考虑到此前在马来西亚举行的巴林大奖赛开赛时赛道几乎已经变干，而在新加坡的雨战则是一场冲刺赛，那条赛道无论规则如何都几乎不可能超车。
“目前天气预报显示会有相当多的降雨，所以如果正赛是干地我会感到惊讶，”斯特拉说道。
“目前还不清楚降雨量有多大、强度会有多高。可能是持续性的降雨，但不会太大。
在某些条件下，能见度问题就在于轮胎和赛车会扬起一定量的水雾，你对此无能为力，只能因为能见度和水滑现象而中止比赛。
我认为如果能见度还算可以接受，那我们就能进行比赛，而且我希望，就像我说的，根据天气预报，即使降雨持续，也应该是较小级别的、较低强度的降雨。
而且我们在排位赛中已经看到，实际上从能见度和轮胎抓地力的角度来看，赛车能够承受一定量的积水。所以我对能够举行比赛持乐观态度。但我对比赛会在干燥条件下进行就没那么乐观了。
从倍耐力的角度来看，雨胎在排位赛中的成功意味着无论条件如何，两款雨胎都是可行的选择。
在干地条件下，由于轮胎退化严重，预计将是一场两停的比赛。
最可能的路线是软胎/中性胎/软胎或中性胎/硬胎/软胎。硬胎只有在温度下降时才会派上用场——这恰好符合其较低的工作温度范围——但一停会比两停慢10秒，因此并不理想。
不过，F1正赛类型的关键在于当地时间下午2点的天气情况，以及预计的早晨阵雨是否已经过去。
如果阵雨还没过去，比赛局面可能会非常开放。
英文原文
The Brazilian Grand Prix has been witness to many famous charges from the lower reaches of the Formula 1 grid because overtaking has historically been easy.
But there are genuine fears among F1 drivers that the peculiarities of the 2026 regulations will neuter the spectacle at Interlagos on Sunday afternoon.
Only one week ago in Mexico, Lewis Hamilton and Lando Norris were both bemoaning the energy deployment ramp-down rates that kick in once F1 cars clear a certain threshold of speed. Hamilton called them "stupid" and Norris said they "kind of ruin racing".
And the 2026 rules are why drivers including Hamilton and Max Verstappen, who have both tasted success in Brazil when starting from lowly grid positions, feel their chances of coming through the field are much reduced.
Hamilton, who will start 20th after picking up a 10-place grid penalty, suggested "overtaking will be very, very, very hard. I'm not sure you're going to see the same sort of races that you've seen in the past".
Hamilton himself won the 2021 Brazilian GP from 10th on the grid, having come from the very back in the sprint race with a new engine fitted, but he feels the fact every car will shed drag in straight mode, rather than being offset like they were racing under the old DRS rules, means the 2026 race is likely to be more static.
This reading of the situation was echoed by Verstappen, who won the 2024 edition of this race from 17th on the grid.
"Now we don't have DRS anymore and the overtake mode is very limiting around here because of the long straight, everyone is draining the battery," he said.
"So your speed difference on the straight is going to be a lot less, a bit like Mexico really. So it will be quite a lot harder, I think, to pass [on] the long straight."
That overtake mode gives any driver following another car within a one-second time threshold an extra 0.5MJ of energy, but Williams driver Carlos Sainz estimated that to be worth only "one or two tenths", which is unlikely to be enough of a pace offset in of itself to encourage overtaking.
"Anyway I'm not expecting to look forward too much with the amount of penalties that are happening and everything," he said.
But the weather is the massive curveball here because the limitations of overtake mode are only really relevant in the dry.
In the wet, active aero can be disabled too - so the slipstream effect becomes bigger.
McLaren team principal Andrea Stella said he "would be surprised if we have a dry race", which would be a venture into the unknown for F1 considering the Bahrain GP in Malaysia had almost dried out by the time it got under way and in Singapore the wet race was a sprint on a track where overtaking is pretty much impossible regardless of the ruleset.
"At the moment in the forecast, there's quite a lot of rain, so I would be surprised if we have a dry race," Stella said.
"It's unclear how much rain, what the intensity is going to be. It could be steady, but not too heavy.
"In some conditions, the visibility is just the fact that the tyres and the cars, they just lift a certain amount of water, and there's nothing you can do, you just have to stop the session because of the visibility and the aquaplaning.
"I think if the visibility can be somehow acceptable, then I think we can have a race, and I hope, like I said, that based on the forecast, even if the rain will be steady, it should be lower class, a lower level of rain.
"And we have seen in qualifying that actually the cars, from a visibility and tyre grip point of view, they can tolerate a certain amount of water. So I'm optimistic that we should be able to have a race. I'm not that optimistic that it will be in dry conditions."
From Pirelli's perspective, the success of the wet rubber in qualifying means that both rain tyres are viable options no matter the conditions.
In the dry, a two-stop race is on the cards because degradation is high.
The most likely route is soft/medium/soft or medium/hard/soft. The hard will only come into play if temperatures drop - which fits perfectly with its lower working range - but a one stop is 10 seconds slower so not ideal.
Key though to the type of race F1 geta will be what the weather does by 2pm local time, and if the expected morning showers have blown through.
If they haven't, there is a chance things will be very wide open.
The Race ·
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