F1美国大奖赛五大看点
2026赛季F1进入尾声，本周末在奥斯汀美洲赛道举行美国大奖赛，开启包含墨西哥城和圣保罗在内的三连赛。安东内利有机会在此加冕世界冠军。
F1美国大奖赛五大看点
本周末奥斯汀举办其广受欢迎的大奖赛，安东内利可能在此成为F1世界冠军
2026赛季F1已接近尾声，锦标赛如今前往北美，进行今年最后一次海外飞地赛事。
本周末奥斯汀的美洲赛道举办美国大奖赛，开启包含墨西哥城和圣保罗在内的三连赛。
就目前情况来看，2026赛季还剩六站比赛，这意味着世界冠军将在这一最后阶段决出——其中一项冠军可能会在得克萨斯州揭晓。
因此，以下是美国大奖赛上值得关注的五件事。
安东内利的加冕时刻？
梅赛德斯一直被预期能够驾驭规则切换，因为数十年来它一直在打造世界级的动力单元，而这是2026年规则体系的关键部分。这使得银箭车队从一开始就成为博彩公司眼中两项冠军的热门，不过基于2025年的表现，许多人曾认为乔治·拉塞尔会拿下车手总冠军。
这位28岁的车手可以说交出了他当时七个赛季F1生涯中最好的一个赛季，他最大化发挥了W16的潜力，最终获得年度第四，并领先新秀队友基米·安东内利169分。诚然，在经历了这样一个起伏不定的新秀赛季后，安东内利不可能在仅仅第二年就成为世界冠军的料。
然而他确实做到了：这位20岁的车手目前领先第二名拉塞尔102分。安东内利的表现极其稳定，令人印象深刻，他拿下了14个领奖台、8场胜利和6个杆位。只有在巴库，这位意大利车手的速度不足以进入前三，而他其他未能登上领奖台的结果都是由于赛车问题造成的。
这一切意味着安东内利可以在本周末的奥斯汀锁定他的首个总冠军，这也是他第一次有机会做到这一点。这或许不太可能——他需要比拉塞尔多拿23分——但这仍然凸显了他的统治力。
另一方面，梅赛德斯还无法锁定车队总冠军，因为它需要带着对第二名法拉利215分的优势离开奥斯汀。考虑到目前优势为134分，墨西哥是这家德国厂商自2021年以来夺得首个总冠军的最早机会。
但梅赛德斯是夺冠热门吗？
现实地说，安东内利本周末成为世界冠军的唯一途径是赢得美国大奖赛，并且拉塞尔获得第九名。如果是在2026年早些时候，当梅赛德斯从杆位赢下开局六轮时，那么前者看起来非常有可能——但现在不是了，这一切都要归功于红牛。
这支奥地利车队赛季初起步缓慢，在前六场比赛中只获得两次领奖台，但他们用持续不断的升级做出了回应，其中或许最具决定性的一次升级发生在上个月的巴库。
那个周末，马克斯·维斯塔潘获得第二名，紧跟在拉塞尔身后，随后前往雪邦——一条特性完全不同的赛道——赢得了他在2026年的首场胜利。这位四届世界冠军随后在上一站的 Singapore 冲刺赛和大奖赛中双双获胜。
因此，维斯塔潘不仅在过去三场比赛中从杆位夺冠，还在最近八场大奖赛中的七场登上领奖台，上演了令人想起去年的赛季末复苏。这让围场内许多人将小红牛22称为“全场标杆”，而随着它现在在不止一种类型的赛道上都表现出色，红牛可以说将以夺冠热门身份前往奥斯汀。
如果维斯塔潘获胜，这将是他的第五个美国大奖赛冠军——全部来自最近六届比赛。
迈凯伦试图用奥斯汀升级阻止下滑趋势
奥斯卡·皮亚斯特里，迈凯伦，兰多·诺里斯，迈凯伦
红牛复苏后， certainly 一支受害的车队是迈凯伦，在几个月的时间里，它从梅赛德斯最接近的挑战者变成了第四好的车队。沃金车队凭借兰多·诺里斯在布达佩斯和赞德沃特背靠背获胜，如果不是不合时宜的虚拟安全车，他本可以在马德里实现四场比赛中的第三场胜利。
但自那以后，车队状态下滑，在接下来的三场比赛——阿塞拜疆、马来西亚、新加坡三连赛——中未能登上领奖台，现在面临着以仅领先红牛七分的优势保住第三名的战斗。
尽管卫冕冠军为马来西亚带来了升级版MCL40，而且升级似乎按预期发挥了作用，但迈凯伦只是在研发竞争中被对手超越了。本周末情况可能会改变，因为这家英国品牌为奥斯汀带来了另一组升级，主要集中在前部。
首席设计师罗布·马歇尔表示：“我们为本次赛事带来了一套适度的升级，旨在改善一些制动可靠性和性能问题。”
我们也有一些小的底板改动需要测试。过去五六场比赛中，大家都看到了要预测顶级车队之间的相对表现有多么困难。显然，这里有很多因素在起作用：赛车在升级、赛车适合某些赛道、车手喜欢某些赛道，以及其他因素。
最近几场比赛对我们来说不太顺利，但我认为我们正在重新变得更强，奥斯汀可能更适合我们的赛车。
诺里斯与队友奥斯卡·皮亚斯特里在新加坡冲刺赛中的冲突，本周末可能也会再次被提起，不过迈凯伦似乎已经为这起事件画上了句号。
新加坡大奖赛之后又有更多车手消息，哈斯确认将让F2积分榜领先者拉斐尔·卡马拉在2027年完成F1首秀。这位21岁的巴西车手将接替埃斯特班·奥康，并可能在几项合同细节敲定后与现任车手奥利弗·贝尔曼搭档。
这对卡马拉来说是一次快速崛起，他在2025年赢得F3冠军，前一年则拿下FRECA冠军，这也意味着理论上除了哈斯之外，2027年唯一尚未确认的车手席位只剩下小红牛（小红牛）。
利亚姆·劳森和阿维德·林德布拉德目前为这支位于法恩扎的车队效力，两人都为小红牛领跑中游集团做出了贡献，车队以100分排名第五。虽然几乎可以确定，积38分排名第11位的新秀林德布拉德将在下赛季留队，但排名第九的劳森身上仍存有疑问。
并非他们应该如此：这位24岁的新西兰人正处于职业生涯最佳状态，除五场比赛外每场都有积分入账。但正如红牛一贯的情况，其青训输送带上还有另一位年轻车手，那就是卡马拉的F2冠军竞争对手尼古拉·措洛夫。
这家奥地利公司需要做出决定：是留下劳森，还是给措洛夫一个机会。问题只在于劳森从今往后何去何从？考虑到伊萨克·哈贾尔的状态，他重返红牛——他2025年起步的地方——可能性不大，而长期留在小红牛对任何一方来说都不是真正可行的选择。
所以这个周末预计会出现那些问题。但就目前情况而言，劳森预计会留到2027年，而2028年或许是他需要寻找新车队的年份。
今年有多少次超出赛道限制？
皮埃尔·加斯利，阿尔派车队；弗兰科·科拉平托，阿尔派车队
“我要把酒店的一个枕头垫在他屁股下面，这样他才能真正看到路，”梅赛德斯车队老板托托·沃尔夫在新加坡大奖赛上说道。这是对安东内利四次超出赛道限制的回应，理论上，这是触发五秒罚时的阈值。但这位意大利车手逃过了处罚，因为其中一次是由刹车问题导致的。
尽管如此，赛道限制是安东内利经常难以处理的问题，而且毫无疑问，这在本周末将成为一个重大话题，这无疑会让他感到沮丧。在美洲赛道，由于极长的缓冲区与高速弯道，这始终是焦点，去年的比赛中就有32圈成绩被删除。
这比赛历上的大多数赛道都要多，因此本周末无疑会成为另一个讨论点——尤其是在排位赛中，车手们比在任何其他环节都更用力地逼近极限。
英文原文
Five things to watch out for at the F1 United States GP
Austin hosts its popular grand prix this weekend, where Kimi Antonelli could become F1 world champion
The end of the 2026 Formula 1 season is in sight as the championship now heads to North America for the last of its flyaway races this year.
Austin hosts the United States Grand Prix this weekend at the popular Circuit of the Americas, kick-starting a triple-header that includes Mexico City and Sao Paulo.
As things stand, there are six rounds remaining in the 2026 campaign, meaning world titles are won and lost in this final stretch - one of which may be decided in Texas.
So here are five things to watch out for at the United States GP.
Antonelli’s crowning moment?
Mercedes was always expected to master the regulation switch thanks to decades of it producing world-class power units, a key part of the 2026 ruleset. It led to the Silver Arrows being the bookies’ favourite for both titles from early on, though based on 2025, many assumed George Russell would take the drivers’ crown.
The 28-year-old produced arguably the best campaign of his then seven-season-long F1 career by maximising the W16 to finish fourth in the standings and 169 points above rookie team-mate Kimi Antonelli. Surely, after such an up-and-down rookie season, Antonelli wouldn’t be world champion material in only year two.
Yet he has been: the 20-year-old holds a 102-point advantage over second-placed Russell. It’s been mighty impressive how consistent Antonelli has been with 14 podiums, eight victories and six poles. Only in Baku was the Italian not quick enough for a top-three finish, with his other non-podium results happening due to a car issue.
It all means that Antonelli can clinch his maiden title in Austin this weekend, the first opportunity for him to do so. It may be unlikely - needing to outscore Russell by 23 points - but it still underlines his dominance.
Mercedes, on the other hand, is not yet able to seal the constructors’ title, as it would need to leave Austin with a 215-point gap over second-placed Ferrari. Considering the advantage currently stands at 134, Mexico is the earliest opportunity for the German marque to take its first championship since 2021.
But is Mercedes favourite for victory?
Realistically, the only way Antonelli can become world champion this weekend is if he wins the United States Grand Prix and Russell finishes ninth. If it were earlier in 2026, when Mercedes won the opening six rounds from pole, then the former would appear very likely - but not now, all thanks to Red Bull.
The Austrian outfit started the campaign slowly with two podiums in the first six, yet responded to that with relentless upgrades and perhaps the most decisive of those came in Baku last month.
That weekend Max Verstappen finished second, closely behind Russell, before going to Sepang, a track with completely different characteristics, to take his first win of 2026. The four-time world champion then followed that up with a victory in both the Singapore sprint and grand prix last time out.
So not only has Verstappen won the last three races from pole, but he has also finished on the podium in seven of the last eight grands prix, staging a late resurgence reminiscent of last year. It has led to many within the paddock to label the RB22 as the ‘class of the field’ and with it now performing at more than one type of circuit, Red Bull arguably heads into Austin as favourite for victory.
If Verstappen wins, it would be his fifth United States GP victory - all coming across the last six editions.
McLaren attempts to stop downward trajectory with Austin upgrades
Oscar Piastri, McLaren, Lando Norris, McLaren
One team suffering from Red Bull’s resurgence is certainly McLaren which, in the space of a couple of months, has gone from Mercedes’ nearest challenger to being the fourth-best squad. The Woking outfit won back-to-back in Budapest and Zandvoort via Lando Norris, who would have made it three victories in four at Madrid had it not been for an untimely VSC.
But since then it has regressed, failing to score a podium in the three races since - the Azerbaijan-Malaysia-Singapore triple header - and now faces a fight to hold onto third with just a seven-point advantage over Red Bull.
That is despite the reigning champions bringing an upgraded MCL40 to Malaysia and, although the updates seemingly worked as intended, McLaren was simply out-developed by its rivals. That may change this weekend as the British marque is bringing another set of upgrades to Austin, largely focused on the front of the car.
"We’re bringing a modest selection of upgrades for this event, aimed at improving some braking reliability and performance issues," said chief designer Rob Marshall.
"We also have some small floor changes to test. We have all seen how difficult it is to predict the relative performance of the top teams over the last five or six races. Obviously, there are many factors in play here: cars being upgraded, cars suiting and drivers liking certain circuits, among other factors.
"The last few races have not been great for us, but I think we’re getting stronger again and Austin is probably a better circuit for our car."
The clash between Norris and team-mate Oscar Piastri in the Singapore sprint may also come up again this weekend, though McLaren appears to have drawn a line under the incident.
There has been more driver news since the Singapore Grand Prix, as Haas confirmed it will give Formula 2 points leader Rafael Camara his F1 debut in 2027. The 21-year-old Brazilian is replacing Esteban Ocon and will likely line up alongside incumbent Oliver Bearman, once a few contractual details have been ironed out.
It completes a rapid rise for Camara, who won F3 in 2025 and FRECA the year before, and means that outside of Haas, in theory, the only seats left to be confirmed for 2027 are at Racing Bulls.
Liam Lawson and Arvid Lindblad currently compete for the Faenza outfit and have both contributed to Racing Bulls leading the midfield, sitting fifth on 100 points. While it is all but guaranteed that rookie Lindblad, who is 11th with 38 points, will return for next season, question marks linger around ninth-placed Lawson.
Not that they should: the 24-year-old Kiwi is in the form of his life with points in every race bar five. But, as is the case with Red Bull, there is another young driver on its conveyor belt, and that is Camara’s F2 title rival Nikola Tsolov.
The Austrian company has a decision to make: whether to keep Lawson or give Tsolov a chance. It’s just a case of where does Lawson go from here? A return to Red Bull, where he started 2025, is unlikely considering Isack Hadjar’s form, whereas staying at Racing Bulls long-term is not really a viable option for any party.
So expect those questions this weekend. But as things stand, Lawson is expected to stay for 2027 with 2028 perhaps being the year he needs to find a new team.
How many track limit breaches this year?
Pierre Gasly, Alpine, Franco Colapinto, Alpine
“I’m going to put a pillow from the hotel under his butt, so he can actually see the road,” were the words of Mercedes boss Toto Wolff at the Singapore GP. It was in response to Antonelli breaching track limits on four occasions which, in theory, is the threshold for a five-second penalty. But the Italian escaped it, given brake issues caused one of them.
Nevertheless, track limits is something Antonelli has often struggled with and, much to his dismay, no doubt they will be a huge topic this weekend. They always are around COTA due to its extremely long run-off areas and high-speed bends, with 32 laps being deleted in last year’s race.
That is more than most on the calendar, so it will no doubt be another talking point this weekend - particularly so in qualifying, where drivers are pushing the limits more than in any other session.
Motorsport.com ·
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